Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Esperance Tunis win with a probability of 46.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Al Ahly had a probability of 26.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Esperance Tunis win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for an Al Ahly win it was 0-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.