CAF Champions League | Second Preliminary Round | 1st Leg
Sep 14, 2024 at 7pm UK
Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium
FT(HT: 0-3)
Ribeiro Costa (3', 54'), Lebusa (17'), Rayners (39')
Coverage of the CAF Champions League Second Preliminary Round clash between Mbabane Swallows and Mamelodi Sundowns.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mamelodi Sundowns win with a probability of 92.66%. A draw had a probability of 5.9% and a win for Mbabane Swallows had a probability of 1.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mamelodi Sundowns win was 0-3 with a probability of 16.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.29%) and 0-4 (13.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.62%), while for a Mbabane Swallows win it was 1-0 (0.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mamelodi Sundowns would win this match.
| Result |
| Mbabane Swallows | Draw | Mamelodi Sundowns |
| 1.44% | 5.89% | 92.66% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 25.7% |
| 71.22% ( 0) | 28.77% |
| 50.3% ( 0) | 49.7% |
| 26.61% | 73.39% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 3.9% | 96.1% ( 0) |
| 96.58% ( 0) | 3.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 85.05% ( 0) | 14.95% |
Mbabane Swallows 1.44%
Mamelodi Sundowns 92.66%
Draw 5.89%
| Mbabane Swallows | Draw | Mamelodi Sundowns |
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 1.44%
| 1-1 @ 2.62%
0-0 @ 2.51%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 5.89%
| 0-3 @ 16.08%
0-2 @ 14.29%
0-4 @ 13.58%
0-5 @ 9.17%
0-1 @ 8.46%
0-6 @ 5.16%
1-3 @ 4.98%
1-2 @ 4.42%
1-4 @ 4.2%
1-5 @ 2.84%
0-7 @ 2.49%
1-6 @ 1.6%
0-8 @ 1.05%
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 92.66%
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