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Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 16, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Arena Nationala

FCSB
4 - 0
Virtus

Baluta (20'), Edjouma (28', 36'), Miculescu (72')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Buonocunto (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FCSB 1-1 Universitatea Cluj
Saturday, July 13 at 8pm in Romanian SuperLiga
Last Game: Virtus 1-7 FCSB
Tuesday, July 9 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: FCSB 4-0 Virtus

FCSB were dominant in the first leg and it is difficult to make a case for it going any differently this week. Short and sweet, we expect the hosts to secure another commanding victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FCSB win with a probability of 66.26%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Virtus had a probability of 13.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a FCSB win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Virtus win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for FCSB in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FCSB.

Result
FCSBDrawVirtus
66.26% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 19.83% (-0.026 -0.03) 13.91% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.18% (0.121 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.4% (0.141 0.14)44.6% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.04% (0.136 0.14)66.96% (-0.137 -0.14)
FCSB Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.42% (0.045000000000002 0.05)12.58% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.34% (0.094000000000001 0.09)38.66% (-0.095000000000006 -0.1)
Virtus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.26% (0.106 0.11)43.74% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.09% (0.087 0.09)79.91% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    FCSB 66.24%
    Virtus 13.91%
    Draw 19.83%
FCSBDrawVirtus
2-0 @ 11.82% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 11.4% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 8.17% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.76% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.24% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-1 @ 3.5% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.76% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.45% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 66.24%
1-1 @ 9.43% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.5% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.04% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 19.83%
0-1 @ 4.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.9% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 13.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: FCSB 1-1 Universitatea Cluj
Saturday, July 13 at 8pm in Romanian SuperLiga
Last Game: Virtus 1-7 FCSB
Tuesday, July 9 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Rapid Bucuresti 2-0 FCSB
Sunday, May 19 at 7pm in Romanian SuperLiga
Last Game: FCSB 0-1 CFR Cluj
Saturday, May 11 at 6pm in Romanian SuperLiga
Last Game: U Craiova 2-0 FCSB
Monday, May 6 at 7pm in Romanian SuperLiga
Last Game: FCSB 2-1 SSC Farul
Saturday, April 27 at 6.30pm in Romanian SuperLiga
Last Game: Virtus 1-7 FCSB
Tuesday, July 9 at 8pm in Champions League


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