Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Prishtina win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Folgore had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Prishtina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Folgore win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Prishtina would win this match.