Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 18.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 1-0 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for FC Midtjylland in this match.