Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 3, 2022 at 6pm UK
Sammy Ofer Stadium
Form, Standings, Stats
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We said: Maccabi Haifa 3-1 Apollon Limassol
Benefiting from the momentum gained by three competitive outings, compared with their relatively undercooked opponents, Maccabi Haifa are set to take a lead into next week's second leg. As a result, Apollon will have a mountain to climb upon their return to Cyprus.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 46.91%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Apollon Limassol had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for an Apollon Limassol win it was 0-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Maccabi Haifa would win this match.
| Result |
| Maccabi Haifa | Draw | Apollon Limassol |
46.91% ( 0.01) | 27.68% ( 0.01) | 25.4% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.6% ( -0.03) |
| 39.72% ( -0.04) | 60.28% ( 0.04) |
| 19.55% ( -0.03) | 80.45% ( 0.03) |
| 74.22% ( -0.01) | 25.78% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.28% ( -0.02) | 60.72% ( 0.02) |
| 60.09% ( -0.03) | 39.91% ( 0.04) |
