SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KF Ballkani win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for UE Santa Coloma had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a KF Ballkani win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest UE Santa Coloma win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that KF Ballkani would win this match.
| Result | ||
| UE Santa Coloma | Draw | KF Ballkani |
27.49% ( -0.08) | 25.75% ( 0.02) | 46.76% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.64% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.03% ( -0.12) | 51.97% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.29% ( -0.11) | 73.71% ( 0.11) |
| UE Santa Coloma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.39% ( -0.13) | 33.6% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.75% ( -0.14) | 70.25% ( 0.14) |
| KF Ballkani Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.78% ( -0.02) | 22.21% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.36% ( -0.03) | 55.63% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| UE Santa Coloma | Draw | KF Ballkani |
| 1-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 27.49% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.21% 0-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.62% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 46.76% |
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