Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 52.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Chongqing Dangdai Lifan had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Chongqing Dangdai Lifan win it was 1-0 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.