Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chongqing Dangdai Lifan win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Tianjin TEDA had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chongqing Dangdai Lifan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Tianjin TEDA win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.