Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Luneng Taishan win with a probability of 53.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Henan Jianye had a probability of 23.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Luneng Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Henan Jianye win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Luneng Taishan would win this match.