Henan Jianye
1 - 3
Evergrande

Karanga (86')
Cao (25'), Ma (67'), Hao (74')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Paulinho (42'), Shihao (79' pen., 84')
Chao (6'), Shihao (71'), Xiuwei (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Henan and Guangzhou.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 49.88%. A win for Henan Jianye had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Henan Jianye win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou Evergrande would win this match.

Result
Henan	Draw	Guangzhou
26.77%	23.35%	49.88%

Both teams to score 58.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.87%

42.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.47%

64.53%

Henan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.01%

28.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.11%

64.89%

Guangzhou Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.97%

17.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.83%

47.17%

Score Analysis

Henan 26.77%

Guangzhou 49.88%

Draw 23.35%

Henan	Draw	Guangzhou
2-1 @ 6.7% 1-0 @ 6.11% 2-0 @ 3.78% 3-1 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.45% 3-0 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.4% Total : 26.77%	1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 5.93% 0-0 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.35%	1-2 @ 9.58% 0-1 @ 8.74% 0-2 @ 7.74% 1-3 @ 5.65% 0-3 @ 4.57% 2-3 @ 3.5% 1-4 @ 2.5% 0-4 @ 2.02% 2-4 @ 1.55% Other @ 4.04% Total : 49.88%