Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Tianhai win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Guangzhou R&F had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Tianhai win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Guangzhou R&F win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tianjin Tianhai would win this match.