Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 51.34%. A win for Cavalry had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Cavalry win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
4.99) 
-0.67) 
