Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a French Guiana win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Dominican Republic had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a French Guiana win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Dominican Republic win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that French Guiana would win this match.
