SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Trinidad and Tobago | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| 3 | Cuba | 3 | -7 | 3 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Dominican Republic had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Dominican Republic win was 1-0 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dominican Republic | Draw | Guatemala |
32.38% ( 0.03) | 27.7% ( -0.11) | 39.92% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.21% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.49% ( 0.39) | 57.51% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.69% ( 0.31) | 78.3% ( -0.31) |
| Dominican Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.11% ( 0.23) | 32.88% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.54% ( 0.25) | 69.45% ( -0.25) |
| Guatemala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.83% ( 0.23) | 28.16% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.15% ( 0.29) | 63.85% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dominican Republic | Draw | Guatemala |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.38% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 39.91% |
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