Astur are not used to losing football matches at the moment, while Real Valladolid are finding it difficult to pick up positive results. It could be a close match in terms of the scoreline on Tuesday night, but we would be stunned if Real Valladolid were not the team progressing to the second round when the game is completed.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 83.63%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Astur had a probability of 6.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-3 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.14%), while for an Astur win it was 2-1 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
