Rayo were 1-0 winners in the corresponding fixture during the 2022-23 campaign, and we can see the same scoreline in this fixture. Real Valladolid are struggling to pick up positive results at the moment and could lose again here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 47.66%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
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