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Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta

Real Aviles
0 - 1
Arenteiro


dos Santos (36'), del Amo (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Marquitos (32')
Rodriguez (42')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Real Aviles and Arenteiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: UD Logrones 4-0 Real Aviles
Wednesday, August 30 at 7.30pm in Copa del Rey
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Arenteiro 1-3 Atletico
Thursday, December 22 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Aviles win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Arenteiro had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Aviles win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Arenteiro win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Real AvilesDrawArenteiro
41.33% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 28.16% (0.156 0.16) 30.52% (-0.168 -0.17)
Both teams to score 46.3% (-0.504 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.38% (-0.599 -0.6)59.62% (0.599 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.05% (-0.463 -0.46)79.95% (0.462 0.46)
Real Aviles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.61% (-0.277 -0.28)28.39% (0.279 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.87% (-0.352 -0.35)64.13% (0.35299999999999 0.35)
Arenteiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.65% (-0.449 -0.45)35.35% (0.449 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.89% (-0.47 -0.47)72.1% (0.47 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Real Aviles 41.32%
    Arenteiro 30.51%
    Draw 28.15%
Real AvilesDrawArenteiro
1-0 @ 12.63% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.96% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 41.32%
1-1 @ 13.14% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.03% (0.221 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.15%
0-1 @ 10.43% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.83% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 30.51%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: UD Logrones 4-0 Real Aviles
Wednesday, August 30 at 7.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Arenteiro 1-3 Atletico
Thursday, December 22 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Arenteiro 1-3 Valencia
Thursday, December 16 at 6pm in Copa del Rey


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