Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 65.12%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Real Jaen had a probability of 14.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.89%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Real Jaen win it was 1-0 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cadiz would win this match.
