Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eldense win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for Real Jaen had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eldense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Real Jaen win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eldense would win this match.
0.11) 
-0.03) 
