Despite Celta's woes domestically, there will not be too many bigger mismatches across the first round of action in this season's Copa del Rey.
In their first-ever game in the competition proper, Turegano will hope to put up a respectable showing which they can be proud of, as keeping the score down and potentially finding an unlikely goal will be their aim going into this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 91.07%. A draw had a probability of 6.6% and a win for Turegano had a probability of 2.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-3 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (11.74%) and 0-2 (11.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.15%), while for a Turegano win it was 1-0 (0.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
-0.03) 
0.06) 
