Las Palmas have found it so difficult to score this season, but they have been very strong defensively, so we are not expecting this to be a classic. Celta need a result to kickstart their campaign, but we are finding it difficult to separate the two sides in this contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.
0.36) 
-0.59) 
