Copa del Rey | First Round

Nov 1, 2023 at 4pm UK

Polideportivo Santa Ana

Ursaria
1 - 2
Cayon

Diaz (29')
Perez (62'), Lopez (64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sanz (22'), Alonso (72')
Gabi (81')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Ursaria and Cayon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ursaria win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Cayon had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ursaria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Cayon win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Ursaria	Draw	Cayon
43.98% ( 0.15)	26.74% ( -0.05)	29.28% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 49.81% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.1% (

0.12)

54.89% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.81% (

0.1)

76.18% (

-0.11)

Ursaria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.2% (

0.13)

24.79% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.62% (

0.18)

59.37% (

-0.19)

Cayon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.23% (

-0.02)

33.77% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.57% (

-0.02)

70.43% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Ursaria 43.98%

Cayon 29.28%

Draw 26.73%

Ursaria	Draw	Cayon
1-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 43.98%	1-1 @ 12.67% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.73%	0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 29.28%