Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 19.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.