Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 50.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.17%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 1-0 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.