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Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 24, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo
2 - 0
Aguia de Maraba

Moura (36' pen.), Erick (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

dos Santos Almeida (48')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-0 Barcelona
Friday, May 17 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Sao Paulo 3-0 Aguia de Maraba (Sao Paulo to win 6-1 on aggregate)

Regardless of what team is selected for this contest, Sao Paulo should have more than enough quality to successfully negotiate this tie, keeping a clean sheet in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 88.8%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for Aguia de Maraba had a probability of 2.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (16.37%) and 1-0 (12.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (4.25%), while for an Aguia de Maraba win it was 0-1 (1.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 17.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sao Paulo.

Result
Sao PauloDrawAguia de Maraba
88.8% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04) 8.92% (0.0191 0.02) 2.29% (0.017 0.02)
Both teams to score 25.09% (0.124 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.12% (0.031999999999996 0.03)38.88% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.81% (0.036000000000001 0.04)61.19% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)5.8% (0.0019 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.7% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)22.3% (0.004999999999999 0)
Aguia de Maraba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
26.64% (0.132 0.13)73.36% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
3.91% (0.042 0.04)96.09% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 88.78%
    Aguia de Maraba 2.29%
    Draw 8.92%
Sao PauloDrawAguia de Maraba
2-0 @ 17.24% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 16.37% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
1-0 @ 12.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 11.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 6.64% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.34% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.07% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.61% (0.015 0.02)
6-0 @ 3.15% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.06% (0.008 0.01)
7-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
6-1 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 88.78%
0-0 @ 4.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-1 @ 3.75% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 8.92%
0-1 @ 1.32% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 2.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Sao Paulo


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