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Brasileiro | Gameweek 5
May 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Manoel Barradas
SP

Vitoria
vs.
Sao Paulo

 
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vitoria and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cruzeiro 3-1 Vitoria
Sunday, April 28 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Barcelona 0-2 Sao Paulo
Friday, April 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Sao Paulo vs. Palmeiras
Tuesday, April 30 at 12am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 48.23%. A draw has a probability of 26.4% and a win for Vitoria has a probability of 25.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.28%) and 1-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Vitoria win it is 1-0 (8.53%).

Result
VitoriaDrawSao Paulo
25.37% (-0.428 -0.43) 26.41% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 48.23% (0.41399999999999 0.41)
Both teams to score 48.02% (-0.414 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.14% (-0.352 -0.35)55.86% (0.354 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.03% (-0.288 -0.29)76.98% (0.28899999999999 0.29)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53% (-0.568 -0.57)37.47% (0.568 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75% (-0.562 -0.56)74.26% (0.563 0.56)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.81% (0.037999999999997 0.04)23.2% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.91% (0.055999999999997 0.06)57.09% (-0.055 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria 25.37%
    Sao Paulo 48.23%
    Draw 26.4%
VitoriaDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 8.53% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.12% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 4.19% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.37% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 25.37%
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.69% (0.118 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 12.7% (0.19 0.19)
0-2 @ 9.28% (0.146 0.15)
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-3 @ 4.52% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.65% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 48.23%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cruzeiro 3-1 Vitoria
Sunday, April 28 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vitoria 2-2 Bahia
Sunday, April 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vitoria 0-1 Palmeiras
Sunday, April 14 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vitoria 3-4 Ceara
Thursday, August 27 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Ceara 1-0 Vitoria
Thursday, March 12 at 10.15pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Vitoria 3-1 Lagarto
Thursday, March 5 at 10.15pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Barcelona 0-2 Sao Paulo
Friday, April 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico GO 0-3 Sao Paulo
Sunday, April 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Sao Paulo
Thursday, April 18 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-2 Fortaleza
Sunday, April 14 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Cobresal
Thursday, April 11 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Talleres 2-1 Sao Paulo
Friday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores


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