SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Always Ready win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Always Ready win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Always Ready would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Always Ready | Draw | Nacional |
50.09% ( 0.25) | 23.72% ( -0.07) | 26.19% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 57.09% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.7% ( 0.15) | 44.3% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.32% ( 0.15) | 66.68% ( -0.14) |
| Always Ready Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.23% ( 0.16) | 17.77% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.53% ( 0.27) | 48.47% ( -0.26) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.43% ( -0.06) | 30.57% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.2% ( -0.08) | 66.8% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Always Ready | Draw | Nacional |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.68% Total : 50.09% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.72% | 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.98% Total : 26.19% |
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