Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 20, 2022 at 3am UK
Estadio Deportivo Cali
Form, Standings, Stats
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We said: Deportivo Cali 2-0 Always Ready
These teams have beaten the more formidable squads in this group, which shows that they are capable of an upset, though it would be a surprise to see either of them make it into the next round given the experience and quality of Corinthians and Boca Juniors.
Always Ready have had a miserable time away from home at this year's tournament, failing to score on the road and going winless as the visitors in their last five matches in all competitions, which is why we project a victory for the Colombians on Thursday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Cali win with a probability of 54.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Always Ready had a probability of 20.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Cali win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for an Always Ready win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Deportivo Cali would win this match.
| Result |
| Deportivo Cali | Draw | Always Ready |
54.08% ( -0.04) | 25.15% ( 0.01) | 20.77% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.52% ( -0.01) |
| 44.77% ( -0.03) | 55.23% ( 0.03) |
| 23.54% ( -0.02) | 76.46% ( 0.02) |
| 79.58% ( -0.03) | 20.42% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.14% ( -0.04) | 52.86% ( 0.04) |
| 58.45% ( 0.01) | 41.55% ( -0.01) |
