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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Sep 24, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Estadio OlĂ­mpico Pascual Guerrero

America
1 - 1
Catolica

Vergara (4')
Sierra (23'), Giraldo (29'), Urena (58'), Torres (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zampedri (34')
Rebolledo (16'), Saavedra (90+3'), Valencia (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between America de Cali and Universidad Catolica.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for America de Cali had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest America de Cali win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
America de CaliDrawUniversidad Catolica
33.07%27.42%39.51%
Both teams to score 49.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.67%56.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.64%77.36%
America de Cali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.19%31.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.76%68.24%
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17%27.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57%63.43%
Score Analysis
    America de Cali 33.07%
    Universidad Catolica 39.51%
    Draw 27.41%
America de CaliDrawUniversidad Catolica
1-0 @ 10.14%
2-1 @ 7.43%
2-0 @ 5.81%
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-0 @ 2.22%
3-2 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 33.07%
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 8.85%
2-2 @ 4.75%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 11.32%
1-2 @ 8.29%
0-2 @ 7.24%
1-3 @ 3.54%
0-3 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 2.03%
1-4 @ 1.13%
0-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 39.51%


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