Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Barcelona SC win was 1-0 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.