Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 23.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Fluminense win it was 1-0 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.