Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Binacional win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for LDU Quito had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Binacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest LDU Quito win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.