Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Tachira win with a probability of 48.36%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Olimpia had a probability of 25.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Tachira win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Olimpia win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportivo Tachira would win this match.