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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Sep 23, 2020 at 11.15pm UK
Norberto Tomaghello

Defensa
2 - 1
Olimpia

Camacho (20'), Romero (62')
Martinez (44'), Jeremias Fernandez (52'), Rius (59'), Merentiel (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pitta (75')
Leguizamon (43'), Ortiz (49'), Caballero (51')
Caballero (68')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Defensa y Justicia and Olimpia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawOlimpia
48.55%25.59%25.85%
Both teams to score 50.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.58%52.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.9%74.09%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.39%21.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.29%54.71%
Olimpia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.83%35.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.07%71.92%
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 48.55%
    Olimpia 25.85%
    Draw 25.59%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawOlimpia
1-0 @ 11.64%
2-1 @ 9.32%
2-0 @ 8.92%
3-1 @ 4.76%
3-0 @ 4.56%
3-2 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.75%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 48.55%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 7.6%
2-2 @ 4.87%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 7.94%
1-2 @ 6.36%
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 2.21%
2-3 @ 1.7%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 25.85%


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