Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.