Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Academia Puerto Cabello and Metropolitanos.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metropolitanos win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metropolitanos win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.44%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Academia Puerto Cabello win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metropolitanos would win this match.
