Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 9, 2023 at 10pm UK
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Blooming and Municipal Vinto.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blooming win with a probability of 48.24%. A win for Municipal Vinto had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blooming win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Municipal Vinto win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blooming would win this match.
| Result |
| Blooming | Draw | Municipal Vinto |
48.24% ( 0.03) | 23.2% ( -0.09) | 28.56% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 60.93% ( 0.34) |
| 59.87% ( 0.44) | 40.13% ( -0.44) |
| 37.5% ( 0.45) | 62.5% ( -0.45) |
| 83.11% ( 0.18) | 16.89% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.07% ( 0.31) | 46.92% ( -0.31) |
| 73.31% ( 0.26) | 26.69% ( -0.26) |
