Nacional
0 - 0
12 de Octubre

12 de Octubre win 5-4 on penalties

Gabriel Gaona Lugo (10'), Daniel Orzusa Caceres (39'), Espinola (87')

FT
(aet)

Aguilar (43'), Salinas (65')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Club Nacional and 12 de Octubre.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Nacional win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for 12 de Octubre had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Nacional win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest 12 de Octubre win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%).

Result
Club Nacional	Draw	12 de Octubre
39.21%	24.38%	36.41%

Both teams to score 59.97%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.22%

42.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.82%

65.18%

Club Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.16%

21.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.94%

55.06%

12 de Octubre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.73%

23.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.8%

57.2%

Score Analysis

Club Nacional 39.21%

12 de Octubre 36.41%

Draw 24.38%

Club Nacional	Draw	12 de Octubre
2-1 @ 8.58% 1-0 @ 7.73% 2-0 @ 5.88% 3-1 @ 4.35% 3-2 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.52% Total : 39.21%	1-1 @ 11.27% 2-2 @ 6.25% 0-0 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.38%	1-2 @ 8.22% 0-1 @ 7.41% 0-2 @ 5.4% 1-3 @ 3.99% 2-3 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.2% Total : 36.41%