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Copa Sudamericana | Second Stage
Nov 4, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro

Tolima
1 - 1
Union La Calera

Campaz (36')
David Rios (23'), Montero (24'), Rodriguez (33')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vilches (45+1')
Leiva (1'), Castellani (24'), Martin Arias (86')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Deportes Tolima and Union La Calera.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Union La Calera had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Union La Calera win was 0-1 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Deportes TolimaDrawUnion La Calera
38.15%28.66%33.19%
Both teams to score 45.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.2%60.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.16%80.84%
Deportes Tolima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19%30.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92%67.09%
Union La Calera Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.96%34.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.28%70.72%
Score Analysis
    Deportes Tolima 38.15%
    Union La Calera 33.19%
    Draw 28.65%
Deportes TolimaDrawUnion La Calera
1-0 @ 12.34%
2-1 @ 7.83%
2-0 @ 7.27%
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-0 @ 2.85%
3-2 @ 1.66%
4-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 38.15%
1-1 @ 13.3%
0-0 @ 10.48%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.65%
0-1 @ 11.3%
1-2 @ 7.17%
0-2 @ 6.09%
1-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 33.19%


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