Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a La Equidad win with a probability of 42%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Deportivo Pasto had a probability of 27.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a La Equidad win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Deportivo Pasto win it was 0-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.