Macara
2 - 2
Emelec

Muriel Orlando (26'), Adonis Santacruz Campos (90')
Calderon (16'), Paul Hernandez Porozo (24'), Arlen Portocarrero Rodriguez (30'), Adonis Santacruz Campos (48')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Barcelo (20'), Zapata Alvarez (34')
Zapata Alvarez (18'), Sanchez (45+2'), Josimar Rojas Lopez (73'), Barcelo (81'), Ortiz (84')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Macara and Emelec.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Macara had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Macara win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Macara	Draw	Emelec
35.89%	26.63%	37.48%

Both teams to score 52.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.11%

52.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.5%

74.5%

Macara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.7%

28.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.98%

64.02%

Emelec Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.64%

27.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.18%

62.82%

Score Analysis

Macara 35.89%

Emelec 37.47%

Draw 26.63%

Macara	Draw	Emelec
1-0 @ 9.77% 2-1 @ 8% 2-0 @ 6.17% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.89%	1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 7.74% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63%	0-1 @ 10.03% 1-2 @ 8.21% 0-2 @ 6.5% 1-3 @ 3.55% 0-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.15% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.08% Total : 37.47%