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Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Apr 7, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
CTE Cachamay

Mineros
1 - 2
Aragua

Antonio Valderrey Medino (8')
Machado (88')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Alejandro Rivillo Godoy (36'), Horacio Stephens Francis (45')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Mineros and Aragua.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mineros win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Aragua had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mineros win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Aragua win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
MinerosDrawAragua
43.05%23.52%33.44%
Both teams to score 62.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.79%39.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.46%61.54%
Mineros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41%18.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.14%49.86%
Aragua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.76%23.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.85%57.15%
Score Analysis
    Mineros 43.05%
    Aragua 33.44%
    Draw 23.51%
MinerosDrawAragua
2-1 @ 8.92%
1-0 @ 7.27%
2-0 @ 6.12%
3-1 @ 5.01%
3-2 @ 3.65%
3-0 @ 3.43%
4-1 @ 2.11%
4-2 @ 1.54%
4-0 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 43.05%
1-1 @ 10.6%
2-2 @ 6.51%
0-0 @ 4.32%
3-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.51%
1-2 @ 7.74%
0-1 @ 6.3%
0-2 @ 4.6%
1-3 @ 3.77%
2-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.37%
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 33.44%

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