Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mineros win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Aragua had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mineros win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Aragua win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.