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Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Apr 7, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
 

Nacional
1 - 2
Guabira

Cuellar Ortiz (69')
Hinestroza (28'), Ruben Paniagua (42'), Torrico (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mina (14'), Alvarez (82')
Ibanez (45+3'), Mercado (73')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Nacional Potosi and Guabira.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guabira win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Nacional Potosi had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guabira win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.43%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Nacional Potosi win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Guabira in this match.

Result
Nacional PotosiDrawGuabira
35.51%23.04%41.45%
Both teams to score 64.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.68%36.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.55%58.45%
Nacional Potosi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2%20.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.54%53.46%
Guabira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.93%18.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.01%48.99%
Score Analysis
    Nacional Potosi 35.51%
    Guabira 41.45%
    Draw 23.04%
Nacional PotosiDrawGuabira
2-1 @ 7.93%
1-0 @ 5.9%
2-0 @ 4.63%
3-1 @ 4.15%
3-2 @ 3.55%
3-0 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.63%
4-2 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 35.51%
1-1 @ 10.09%
2-2 @ 6.78%
0-0 @ 3.76%
3-3 @ 2.02%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.04%
1-2 @ 8.64%
0-1 @ 6.43%
0-2 @ 5.5%
1-3 @ 4.93%
2-3 @ 3.87%
0-3 @ 3.14%
1-4 @ 2.11%
2-4 @ 1.65%
0-4 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 41.45%

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