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Copa Diego Maradona | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2020 at 5pm UK
Estadio José María Minella
SL

Aldosivi
1 - 4
San Lorenzo

Iniguez (50')
Iniguez (25'), Yeri (40'), Lopez (57'), Maciel (64')
Lopez (66')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Gattoni (17'), Piatti (24'), Peralta Bauer (29'), Diaz (48')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between Aldosivi and San Lorenzo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 44.8%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 26.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.29%) and 1-2 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 1-0 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.

Result
AldosiviDrawSan Lorenzo
26.08%29.12%44.8%
Both teams to score 41.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.55%64.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.5%83.51%
Aldosivi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.33%41.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.85%78.15%
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17%28.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31%64.69%
Score Analysis
    Aldosivi 26.08%
    San Lorenzo 44.8%
    Draw 29.11%
AldosiviDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 10.51%
2-1 @ 5.73%
2-0 @ 4.6%
3-1 @ 1.67%
3-0 @ 1.34%
3-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 26.08%
1-1 @ 13.08%
0-0 @ 12.01%
2-2 @ 3.56%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 29.11%
0-1 @ 14.94%
0-2 @ 9.29%
1-2 @ 8.13%
0-3 @ 3.85%
1-3 @ 3.37%
2-3 @ 1.48%
0-4 @ 1.2%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 44.8%


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