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Copa Diego Maradona | Group Stage
Nov 8, 2020 at 2pm UK
Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona
AT

Arsenal
1 - 2
Tucuman

Carabajal (57')
Mendez (42')
Mendez (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Risso (9'), Melano (90+2')
Toledo (53'), Risso (56'), Ortiz (71'), Carrera (81')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Atletico Tucuman.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 48.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 24.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal SarandiDrawAtletico Tucuman
48.95%26.35%24.71%
Both teams to score 47.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.91%56.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.84%77.16%
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.03%22.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.25%56.75%
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.81%38.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.05%74.95%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Sarandi 48.95%
    Atletico Tucuman 24.71%
    Draw 26.34%
Arsenal SarandiDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 12.9%
2-0 @ 9.49%
2-1 @ 9.14%
3-0 @ 4.65%
3-1 @ 4.48%
3-2 @ 2.16%
4-0 @ 1.71%
4-1 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 48.95%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 8.77%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.44%
1-2 @ 5.98%
0-2 @ 4.06%
1-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.41%
0-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 24.71%


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