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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Oct 17, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Monumental Jose Fierro

Tucuman
4 - 3
Argentinos Jrs

Ruiz (4'), Carrera (30'), Lotti (54'), Ortiz (79')
Carrera (52'), Mussis (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Reniero (76'), Coronel (77'), Mac Allister (90+5')
Avalos (34'), Reniero (39'), Ovando (89')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Atletico Tucuman and Argentinos Juniors.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.5%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 (12.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Atletico TucumanDrawArgentinos Juniors
32.39%29.7%37.9%
Both teams to score 42.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.66%64.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.57%83.43%
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.49%36.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.7%73.3%
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.22%32.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.66%69.34%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Tucuman 32.39%
    Argentinos Juniors 37.89%
    Draw 29.7%
Atletico TucumanDrawArgentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 12.05%
2-1 @ 6.78%
2-0 @ 6.07%
3-1 @ 2.28%
3-0 @ 2.04%
3-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 32.39%
1-1 @ 13.45%
0-0 @ 11.96%
2-2 @ 3.78%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.7%
0-1 @ 13.34%
1-2 @ 7.5%
0-2 @ 7.45%
1-3 @ 2.79%
0-3 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 37.89%

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