Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.5%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 (12.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.