Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 47.79%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 24.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.
