Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 34.6%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 31.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.83%) and 2-1 (6.63%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (13.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
