Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Huracan had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.42%) and 1-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Huracan win was 1-0 (12.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.